In this context, the market faces a central challenge: ensuring that the charging infrastructure keeps pace with the expected growth, while operators move from an unrestrained growth model to a disciplined model of profitability and scale. This evolution reflects a progressive maturation of a sector that is beginning to draw a clearer path to economic sustainability.
In recent years, the electric charging sector has been driven by the need to rapidly expand infrastructure in response to the growing adoption of electric vehicles. Today, a natural shift in operators’ strategies is becoming increasingly evident, with greater emphasis being placed on operational profitability and asset efficiency.
The electrification of the vehicle fleet remains the fundamental driver behind this trend. Sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) have reached historic levels across most European countries, with the main markets (the UK, Germany and France) accounting for significant shares of new sales. In the first quarter of 2026, electric vehicles represented, on average, around 21% of total vehicle sales across Europe. However, important differences remain between countries. In markets such as Portugal, Germany or the United Kingdom, electric vehicles still account for around 20% of sales, while in countries such as Norway or Denmark, their share exceeds 85%.
The Strategy& study suggests that adoption is unlikely to follow a linear trajectory until 2035. The regulatory environment, incentive policies, and geopolitical context create a range of possible scenarios. In this context, BEVs are expected to account for between 70% and 96% of total sales and between 22% and 33% of the total light-duty vehicle fleet by 2035.
The continued expansion of electric vehicle adoption will be driven by several key factors:
A broader range of affordable vehicle models, especially in the B and C segments, which could accelerate the transition of BEVs into the mass market;
An increasing availability of charging services, reducing friction points and improving the overall user experience;
A stable regulatory environment, providing long-term visibility and confidence for both investors and consumers.
The development of public charging infrastructure has closely tracked and in some cases even outpaced the growth in electric vehicle adoption. Between 2021 and 2025, the number of public charging points in Europe grew from 332 thousand to 946 thousand, representing an average annual growth rate of approximately 30%.
Growth has been particularly strong in two segments. Across Europe, direct current (DC) fast charging infrastructure expanded at an annual rate of approximately 50%, while alternating current (AC) chargers grew by 30% over the same period. Looking ahead, total electricity demand for EV charging is expected to reach 200 TWh by 2035, supported by an estimated infrastructure of 3.5 to 4 million public charging points and 50 to 60 million private charging points. In addition, a change in the profile of this demand is expected: public charging, which accounted for about 30% of total energy delivered in 2021, is projected to increase to 40-45% by 2035.
This pattern of massive investment in infrastructure has brought several benefits: on the one hand, it has contributed to reducing concerns about vehicle range, improved geographical coverage and made public charging more accessible across Europe. Despite this, the rapid growth in the number of vehicles has not been accompanied by a fast enough growth in the number of chargers, which has resulted in a scenario in which the ratio of BEV to fast charger has been decreasing by approximately 3% per year.
Historically, the public charging business has faced significant challenges in terms of profitability, with many operators absorbing losses while expanding their networks. More recent data, however, suggest a positive development in this area. Profitability dynamics in this market depend heavily on how operators capture value along the chain. Regarding the cost structure, energy costs remain one of the most significant components, which is why operators are increasingly seeking to align this expenditure with the variability of revenues, using power purchase agreements and risk-hedging strategies.
The report identifies seven distinct ways to compete in the value chain, ranging from asset ownership to management software, including specialized hardware and integrated solutions. Each positioning offers different trade-offs between operational complexity and margin potential, suggesting that there is no one-size-fits-all approach, but rather strategic options that must be aligned with each organization's strengths.
Additionally, as infrastructure coverage has become more widespread, the quality of the experience is emerging as an increasingly important source of competitive differentiation. In particular, friction in the payment process has been identified as a significant pain point, which indicates that payment is not just transactional, but rather a critical moment that can determine whether a customer returns to use a particular provider’s service or opts for a competitor.
Even so, operators that have been achieving profitability tend to be leaders in their respective markets, benefiting from economies of scale that allow them to dilute fixed costs, negotiate more favorable conditions for energy costs and invest in more advanced and efficient technology. Consequently, this study points to consolidation as a natural dynamic that can support the trajectory of improving the financial profitability of operators. Still, the European market remains relatively fragmented, although clear leaders are beginning to emerge in various geographies.
“As the electric vehicle charging market moves into a phase of greater scale, differentiation will increasingly hinge on operational efficiency, the quality of the customer experience and the ability to generate sustainable profitability.”
Cláudia Rocha,Partner at Strategy& PortugalThe European electric vehicle charging sector is in a major transformation phase. The aggressive expansion of infrastructure has been giving way to a phase in which efficient operations, careful selection of assets and customer experience gain prominence. Signs of improved profitability, combined with ongoing consolidation, technological maturation and a progressive integration into the energy ecosystem, contribute to an optimistic outlook for the sector, albeit dependent on the evolution of demand for electric vehicles and the regulatory context.
The integrated analysis of the report allows us to identify common characteristics in operators that are well positioned for the next phase of development of the electric vehicle charging sector:
Disciplined allocation of capital, with an emphasis on careful selection of locations and their expected return.
Reliability-driven operations, evolving from a reactive approach to proactive management of energy performance and availability.
Focus on customer experience, cbuilding differentiation through quality services and interactions.
Collaborative models, selectively participating in an integrated ecosystem and establishing strategic partnerships.
Rigorous financial management, with profitability objectives that go beyond the performance of each individual location.
Strategy& has been closely monitoring the evolution of the European charging market, through regular studies and continuous dialogue with operators, investors and manufacturers. This EV Charging Market Outlook 2026 of Strategy& is the result of that in-depth analysis, offering insights into competitive dynamics, emerging business models and value creation opportunities.
The transition that the market is going through has been bringing different opportunities for different types of players. Strategy& Portugal, supported by a global network of experts, brings together the skills to support players navigating these strategic shifts, combining market data, comparative analysis and expertise in transformation and strategy.