Food Retailing 2013: Tomorrow’s Trends Delivered Today Offers Insights into Food Retail Growth Strategies
Orlando, Fla., April 30, 2013—Food Retailing 2013: Tomorrow’s Trends Delivered Today, a report unveiled by the Food Marketing Institute (FMI), is an analytical expression of the future of the supermarket experience through the lenses of grocery demand, consumer trends, merchandising and marketing innovation, and technology.
Four champions of retail analytics and consumer insights—Booz & Company, Catalina, CROSSMARK, and Nielsen—convened a “think tank approach” to their findings, which debuted at FMI’s professional development conference, Future Connect, in Orlando, Fla., at the end of April. FMI President and CEO Leslie G. Sarasin presented an overview of the analysis in her address, and it will be further explored by the research team in a panel discussion on May 1.
Sarasin shared a sobering reality, yet one poised for market possibilities, offering data analytics from interviews with CPG executives and retailers. Although consumer demand has remained flat, which is modestly disproportionate to the population growth over the past 15 to 20 years, the industry has witnessed an explosion in its capacity. Sarasin suggested that retailers will be evaluating alternative ways to address consumers’ need for value, convenience and safe foods by focusing their growth strategies on the overall shopper experience. Sarasin said, “[Through this analysis] the leaders in our industry kept coming back to three key words to describe the future food retail experience: Personal, Digital and Virtual.”
Food Retailing 2013: Tomorrow’s Trends Delivered Today evaluates the reported cornerstone changes shaping the food retail industry and the shopping experience. These themes will also be further explored in a series of webinars slated for late spring through summer 2013.
In-Store Merchandising and Innovation
A broad range of key drivers will determine the success of in-store marketing and merchandising programs over the next decade. Today, price and convenience continue to trump other consumer trends in garnering shopper attention in store. Outside of health and beauty care and pharmacy, health and wellness–based themes are the third most common platform for displays, behind price-only and snack/meal solutions.
“Food retailers have an opportunity to better leverage health and wellness to appeal to the growing demand among shoppers. Enhancing fresh food offerings in a unique and compelling way, as well as providing more overall convenient, immediate solutions for shoppers, will be key growth enablers,” said Alex Siskos, vice president – Business Insights at CROSSMARK. “These priorities, in conjunction with improved shopper engagement, digital/mobile integration and greater precision targeting, will create the next-generation shopper experience that goes well beyond the traditional circular and shopping list.”
FMI Webinar: June 12 >
The news that consumption is flat is most evident in the fact that, despite supermarkets’ capacity additions, industry growth was entirely captured by other formats in the last 12 years. In particular, dollar stores tripled in growth from 2000 to 2012 (from US$8 billion to US$24 billion in U.S. grocery sales). Still, retailers will look to online growth in the near future; the report conservatively projects that over the next 10 years, penetration of groceries ordered online will encroach on overall in-store sales by 11 percent. With an industry average profit margin of 1 percent, the market share erosion is significant for the food retail industry.
“Developing consumer attitudes will reshape the future of food retailing to include shopper aspirations,” said Todd Hale, Nielsen senior vice president, consumer and shopper insights. “Retailers will need to align formats, assortment, merchandising efforts, and communications as shoppers evolve.”
FMI Webinar: June 19 >
The analysis identified technology as the most critical catalyst of change in grocery retailing today and indicated that retailers will need to shift focus as shoppers’ traditional “path to purchase” evolves. Ninety-two percent of C-level executives across retail and CPG manufacturing believe mobile technologies are already deeply transforming the shopping experience. “As smartphone use and sophistication grows, we’ll see more people depend on their smartphones for every shopping interaction—in-store navigation, mobile wallet payments, loyalty programs, and price comparisons, among others,” said Nick Hodson, partner at Booz & Company.
Evolving smartphone technology will also bring an explosion of “big data” that can be used to reshape shopper engagement strategies; however, the analysis revealed that most retailers are unsure of how to scale these analytics and apply them meaningfully in the long term. They are also struggling with how to deliver an overall “seamless” experience across multiple retail channels, which is core to shopping simplicity.
“Creating a seamless shopping experience across bricks and mortar, bricks and clicks, and online will require most retailers to retool almost every aspect of their business,” said Thom Blischok, chief retail strategist at Booz & Company. “Success will require significant partner collaboration, especially in the supply chain; multichannel marketing, localization, and assortment; and true integrated management of customer relationships.”
FMI Webinar: June 26 >
Instead of focusing on short-term volume, the most important marketing trend for both manufacturers and retailers in the foreseeable future is building loyalty and long-term ROI. To accomplish this, constituents will need to use shopper data wisely, concentrating on offer personalization. “In the coming years, retailers and brands will work in concert to provide exceptional services for consumers, including personalized shopping lists, brand savings alerts, mobile checkout, recipe services, and product ratings and reviews,” said John Caron, VP of marketing for Catalina. "It will be about delivering the right message at the right time through the right medium...and delighting the consumer."
FMI Webinar: July 10 >
For a preview of the report findings, please contact Siobhan Ford at Booz & Company.
About Booz & Company
Booz & Company is a leading global management consulting firm focused on serving and shaping the senior agenda of the world’s leading institutions. Drawing on the talents and insights of more than 3,000 people in 58 offices around the world, we help our clients achieve essential advantage by working with them to identify and build the differentiating capabilities they need to outperform.
Catalina’s personalized digital media drives lift and loyalty for the world’s leading CPG brands and retailers. Catalina personalizes the consumer’s path to purchase through mobile, online and in-store networks powered by the largest shopper history database in the world. Catalina is based in St. Petersburg, Fla., with operations in the United States, Europe and Japan. To learn more, please visit www.catalinamarketing.com or follow us on Twitter @catalina.
CROSSMARK is a leading sales and marketing services company in the consumer goods industry. For more than 100 years, CROSSMARK (www.crossmark.com) has helped the most powerful brands in the world achieve their business objectives. Expertise encompasses the areas of Headquarter Sales, Retail Merchandising, Retailer Solutions, In-Store Events, Experiential Marketing, Shopper Marketing, Consumer Engagement, In-Store Data Collection & Field Intelligence, Retail Analytics & Business Insights, and Retail Technology Solutions. Headquartered in Plano, Texas, CROSSMARK employs more than 34,000 associates worldwide with 47 offices throughout the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Australia and New Zealand.
Food Marketing Institute (FMI) conducts programs in public affairs, food safety, research, education and industry relations on behalf of its nearly 1,250 food retail and wholesale member companies in the United States and around the world. FMI’s U.S. members operate more than 25,000 retail food stores and almost 22,000 pharmacies with a combined annual sales volume of nearly $650 billion. FMI’s retail membership is composed of large multi-store chains, regional firms and independent operators. Its international membership includes 126 companies from more than 65 countries. FMI’s nearly 330 associate members include the supplier partners of its retail and wholesale members. www.fmi.org.
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